Why liberals do not join the police

The current police discussion in the USA reminds me of the excellent book by J.Haidt "The righteous mind" discussing the inherent difference between liberal and conservative moral foundations. This difference is well experimentally described in the book but what strikes my (conservative) mind is how liberal mids can serve the army and police. The liberal mind does not like authority and loyalty - the basis of hierarchy, order, honor, and duty. The police reformation (defund) discussion does not have a significant point - liberals have to reform the police from the inside, i.e. join the police and replace the rude policemen. However, they want the dirty part of the justice work to be done by somebody else and thus denying their own conviction that nobody has to be forced to do such a job. I do understand why liberals do not have overwhelming representation in the police force, but I do not understand how they are going to resolve actual social and criminal conflicts.

Why the whites pretend they do not understand the meaning of George Floyd's death

The (western European) whites and their descendants have many excuses for their cruel global expansion accompanied by extermination - genocide is a new term - of the native population (literally everywhere) and slavery. There are many considerations why they pretend that they do not understand their crimes and the feelings related to Floyd's death. 

1. they say that slavery was prohibited more than 150 years ago and none of the living humans participated in that. To understand the feelings the whites have to get through 300 years of slavery themselves and then judge what does it mean.

2. many white (and not only white) say that they are not guilty because joined later. Since the whites is a gang humiliating everyone who is not in the gang and protecting their own bandits one can say that the members joining the gang at the later stage are also guilty in all criminal actions, including the genocide of the native population. They knew whom they joined and were ready to use all preferences obtained from all the crimes. 

The mean income gap between white males and black females grows during the democratic presidencies

Two days ago, we compared the mean income evolution of the white and black population and demonstrated that the difference did not change much since the 1980s. Finer details might be more graphic and Figure 1 shows that the mean income of white males is now 1.72 times larger than the man income of black females. In 2019, the black males earned 1.21 times more than black females.  The relative values are important and demonstrate some convergence between various population groups but they are partially misleading since the absolute difference in mean income might be more painful. Moreover, the absolute difference may reveal important details which are ironed out in the relative representation.

In Figure 2, the difference between the real mean incomes of the white males and black females is shown. One can see that the difference was growing between the 1950s and 1070s and reached its peak in ($30,599) in 1973. It has been oscillating between $28,000 and $25,000 ever since. It is interesting that since the 1980s the difference grows during the democratic presidency and falls during the republican one. Having President Biden representing Democratic Party, one can guess that the absolute gap between white males and black women will be growing in the years to come. During the Trump period, the difference did not move much. 

Figure 3 shows that the difference between the white and black population mean income was stable between the late 1980s and the mid-2010s. During the Trump period, the mean income of white females surged, and the overall difference increased from $11,312 in 2016 to $13,244 in 2018. 

 Figure 1. The ratio of white male/ black female and black male/black female mean incomes

 

Figure 2. The difference between white male and black female mean income

Figure 3. The difference between the white and black  population mean income

The US lost face - Biden called Putin

On April 9, I wrote that the US is losing face in the Russia-Ukraine escalation. It really happened and Biden called Putin putting forward the Global stability issue. Essentially it means that the US blinked first and the agenda and terms of the proposed Summit (which is extremely important for global stability) will be formulated by Putin. Otherwise, the Summit will not happen. The lesson learned is that the aggressive counteraction on the brink of global extinction is not acceptable for the US establishment. This is a powerful tool to push own interests through. The next time, the readiness of Russia to defend existential interest will not be tested by the West.   

The third Japanese COVID-19 wave and Tokyo Olympiad

The growth in the daily number of new COVID-19 cases is observed in Japan. It started in the middle of March. The second wave was approximately 4 months long. Considering a higher activity and personal communication related to the 2020 Tokyo Olympiad one can make a thought experiment and project a possible repetition of the second wave extending into the mid-summer.  The Japanese population also does not find the idea of the Olympiad in 2021 too attractive.  I do not expect that the 2020 Summer Olympics will be declared open in 2021.  

A quick comparison of the mean income growth of the white and black population as well as males and females

New income data are available for 2019 and it is a good time to revise the estimates of our income evolution model. The model includes the difference (actually disparity) between genders and races observed since 1947, when personal incomes were measured the first time. Figure 1 shows the evolution of mean income (for people with reported income) since 1947 for males and females, black and white. One can see that the most recent development is the fast growth in females' mean income since 2014. Effectively, white females ($43,315) almost caught black males ($45,103) in 2019.  The effect of 2020 pandemic is of great interest. 

In Figure 2, the male/female mean income ratio for the white and black populations is compared. In the 1940s, the ratio was high but similar for black and white people. With the increasing females’ participation rate in the 1960s and 1970s, the ratio grew to its maximum for white people but decreased for the black population. Currently, white males get 1.5 times more than white females and the rate of convergence between two genders has been deceleration since 2010. For black people, the ratio was 1.2 in 2019. 

Finally, Figure 3 demonstrates the ratio of mean incomes of white and black people. In 1950, it was 1.85. With the increasing labor force participation rate for white females between 1960 and 1980, the disparity fell to 1.4. This was mainly the effect of lower mean incomes for white females, as one can judge by the curves in Figure 1.  In 1980, the ratio was 1.38 and in 2018 reached 1.35. Effectively, the mean income of the black population is 1.35 times lower than the mean income of the white population during the last 40 years. 

 Figure 1. Mean income for four race/gender combinations.

 

Figure 2. The ratio of male/female mean incomes for black and white people

 

Figure 3. The ratio of the mean income of the white and black population.

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Это замечательный праздник для всего мира. Юрий Гагарин изменил нашу жизнь - началась новая эпоха.