Stopped AI at W11. i9 works much better now

I am not sure that AI does not help to the majority of people working with W11. It's possible that it may be of service for simple operations repeated every day. I do intensive calcuations using my own Fortran program which AI considideres as dangerous. They are not in its knowledge system as it did not exist when it was trained. After I have switched AI off - all dozens of simultaneous processes at my i9 core are stable and stationary. As an additional remedy the internet connection was stopped as well. Big relief. 

Low-magnitude seismic activity between the Kamchatka July 20 and July 29, 2025, earthquakes. Spatio-temporal evolution recovered using waveform cross-correlation

 ARXIV.ORG  https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.15302

Low-magnitude seismic activity between the Kamchatka July 20 and July 29, 2025, earthquakes. Spatio-temporal evolution recovered using waveform cross-correlation

Ivan O. Kitov

The M8.8 Kamchatka earthquake on July 29, 2025 was one of the largest in the first quarter of the 21st century. It deserves a thorough analysis including the preparation process. A smaller M7.4 earthquake occurred on July 20 with its epicenter within the confidence ellipse for the July 29 event. The aftershock sequence of the July 20 earthquake and the evolution of seismicity within the Kamchatka Peninsula region during 10 days period before the July 29 event may provide important information on the earthquake preparation and initiation processes. The CTBTO's International Monitoring System is one of the most sensitive global seismic networks comprising high-resolution array stations with enhanced sensitivity relative to three-component stations at the same locations. The International Data Centre of the CTBTO processes IMS data automatically and interactively to create a Reviewed Event Bulletin (REB), which serves as a source of information for the International Seismological Centre. Waveform cross-correlation (WCC) allows for additional detection capabilities to the IMS data and IDC processing when repeated seismicity is analyzed. The aftershock sequence of the July 20 earthquake is recovered using the WCC-based detection and phase association techniques as applied to the IMS data in order to accurately describe the spatio-temporal evolution of seismic process just before the July 29 event. With the reduced detection threshold, smaller events are found in the zones where the REB has no located sources. This finding opens up the possibility for a more detailed study of seismic and mechanical processes before the July 29 mainshock.

An example of regional seismicity recovery on June 22, 2020, using waveform cross-correlation

Full paper version is available on  arxiv.org - [2603.00094] An example of regional seismicity recovery on June 22, 2020, using waveform cross-correlation

Research Square

Abstract

June 22nd, 2020 was an important day for nuclear test monitoring. The US undersecretary, Thomas DiNanno, made an official claim that a secret nuclear test was conducted at the Lop Nor testing site on that day. However, the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) reported that there were no seismic events consistent with a nuclear explosion on that date. This means that the event was either hidden under the threshold of the international monitoring system (IMS), or it was missed by the international data center (IDC). Alternatively, no event occurred. All scenarios are of interest to the scientific community. The routine processing of seismic data by the IDC is well documented in open sources. The threshold for detection is not uniform across the globe, especially in continental areas. Additionally, it is not low enough to detect weapon-sized explosions using the cavity decoupling method. There are methods to lower this threshold using waveform cross-correlation (WCC) techniques. On June 22th, 2020, the IDC ran a preliminary pipeline for processing seismic data from the IMS. This was done in a testing mode. Since 2020, the development of WCC methods has allowed for revisiting cases and obtaining high-quality reports on events that were not reported five years ago.

 

Key words: CTBTO, IMS, IDC, waveform cross correlation, cavity decoupling

Spatio-temporal evolution of low-magnitude seismicity before the May 24, 2013, Sea of Okhotsk earthquake recovered by waveform cross correlation. Is it an earthquake prediction case?

 

Abstract

According to the International Data Centre (IDC), the Sea of Okhotsk earthquake occurred at 05:44:49.7 on May 24, 2013, had coordinates 54.89°N,153.31°E, m_b=6.27, and depth of 604 km. The USGS moment magnitude is 8.3. The previous event detected by the IDC in the surrounding volume 53°N-57°N, 151°E-155°E, depth from 400 to 700 km occurred on February 6, 2012. Using the same seismic data from the stations of the International Monitoring System together with detection and phase association methods based on waveform cross correlation, a series of low-magnitude earthquakes was recovered immediately before this major earthquake. More than 200 events obeying the Event Definition Criteria adapted by the IDC were found  between May 13 and the mainshock, with a sudden increase in their occurrence rate starting on the afternoon May 19. The evolution of the numbers of these low-magnitude earthquakes in various ranges of statistical significance within the source volume demonstrates some features, which can be related to the approaching initiation of the Sea of Okhotsk earthquake.

 

Key words: Sea of Okhotsk earthquake 2013, earthquake prediction, IDC, IMS, waveform cross correlation

Trump has won the miltidimentional war

Nuclear materials buried very deep. Oil cost is high and pours money into the oil(!) billionairs pockets (not others). NATO is dismissed as worthless. No obliagtions, no oil for allies (actually the worst enemies as T does not trusts them), industries run to the US for cheap everything, money run from arab countries to the US for safety, weapon producers are full of new orders (no limit) ... Why someone thinks that T's lost?

P.S. This is also the solution for Greenland. This group of cowards and traitors is not a problem. Ignore as nothing.

AI in Windows 11 is a danger for my work on earthquake prediction

Today switched off AI in Windows 11. It declares my own Fortran programs a danger for safety and stops them. It takes time to mitigate the risks and harms made by MS AI and I am busy with calcualtions of potential algorithm to predeict earthquakes. AI should help MS to organize their work. 

The risks of neighboring US military bases was heavily underestimated. New balance to be found

A US base is the point of power projection. The risk of escalation was much much underestimated by financial guru recommended huge investments near the US protecting bases. There are more than 800 such points worlwide with the underestimated risks for any investment and even development. The new profit/risk balance depends on how much the investors lose in the months to come. Unimaginable task for the next decades of declining US power as its economy shrinks in relative terms.