ARXIV.ORG https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.15302
Ivan O. Kitov
The M8.8 Kamchatka earthquake on July 29, 2025 was one of the largest in the first quarter of the 21st century. It deserves a thorough analysis including the preparation process. A smaller M7.4 earthquake occurred on July 20 with its epicenter within the confidence ellipse for the July 29 event. The aftershock sequence of the July 20 earthquake and the evolution of seismicity within the Kamchatka Peninsula region during 10 days period before the July 29 event may provide important information on the earthquake preparation and initiation processes. The CTBTO's International Monitoring System is one of the most sensitive global seismic networks comprising high-resolution array stations with enhanced sensitivity relative to three-component stations at the same locations. The International Data Centre of the CTBTO processes IMS data automatically and interactively to create a Reviewed Event Bulletin (REB), which serves as a source of information for the International Seismological Centre. Waveform cross-correlation (WCC) allows for additional detection capabilities to the IMS data and IDC processing when repeated seismicity is analyzed. The aftershock sequence of the July 20 earthquake is recovered using the WCC-based detection and phase association techniques as applied to the IMS data in order to accurately describe the spatio-temporal evolution of seismic process just before the July 29 event. With the reduced detection threshold, smaller events are found in the zones where the REB has no located sources. This finding opens up the possibility for a more detailed study of seismic and mechanical processes before the July 29 mainshock.
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