Journal of Applied Economic Sciences (JAES) has published the spring issue with my paper:
Ivan O. KITOV, 2010. "Predicting Real Economic Growth In France, Germany, New Zealand, And The United Kingdom," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 5(1(11)_Spr), pages 48-54.
Abstract
The growth rate of real GDP per capita is modeled and predicted at various time horizons for France, Germany, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. The rate of growth is represented by a sum of two components – a gradually decreasing trend and fluctuations related to the change in country-specific age population. The trend is an inverse function of real GDP per capita with constant numerator. Previously, similar models were developed and validated for the USA and Japan.
Keywords: real GDP per capita, modeling, prediction, population
JEL classification: E1, E3, O4, O5
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Prediction of the Kamchatka July 29, 2025, earthquake by the evolution of low-magnitude seismicity recovered using waveform cross-correlation at IMS seismic arrays (Part 2)
There are dozens of REB events in Figure 21 that are not matched in the XSEL. The reason behind this underperformance could be related to ...
-
These are two biggest parts of the Former Soviet Union. To characterize them from the economic point of view we borrow data from the Tot... -
These days sanctions and retaliation is a hot topic. The first round is over and we will likely observe escalation well supported by po...
-
Yesterday I missed the absolute hero of deflation in the US – the consumer price index of information technology, hardware and software (see...
No comments:
Post a Comment