Food price inflation in Russia in July 2025 is 1% higher than in July 2024

 one can look at the graph of changes in food and other prices here (see figure). In 2024, the rate of growth (inflation) of food prices was significantly lower (by 1-3%) than in 2025. Food is the largest part of the consumer basket - 50%. In July 2025, overall inflation (8.8%) is, of course, slightly lower than in 2024 (9.1%). However, food prices are rising faster, which is most painfully felt by the majority of the population, whose income is below average. The reduction in the Central Bank rate is good for the rich, but it hits the poor hard. (The Gini coefficient in Russia is 0.408 in 2024 and is gradually growing - income inequality is rapidly increasing.) I wonder how much the food price index will grow in August-October. Last year, prices quickly fell to 9% in October from 9.7% in July. Now in July it is 10.79%. In April it was 12.66%.

Инфляция продовольственных цен в России в июле 2025 на 1% выше чем 2024

Можно посмотреть на график изменения продовольственных и других цен здесь (см рисунок). В 2024 скорость роста (инфляция)  стоимости продовольствия был значительно ниже ( на 1-3% ) чем в 2025. Продовольствие самая большая часть потребительской корзины - 50%. В июле 2025 общая инфляция (8.8%), конечно, немного ниже чем 2024 (9.1%). Однако, продовольствие дорожает быстрее, что больнее всего ощущает большинство населения, доходы которого меньше среднего. Снижение ставки ЦБ полезно для богатых, а для бедных бьет наотмашь. (Коэффициент Джини в России  0.408 в 2024 и постепенно растет - неравенство доходов быстро увеличивается.) Интересно, насколько вырастет индекс цен на продовольствие в августе-октябре. В прошлом году цены быстро падали до 9% в октябре с 9.7% в июле. Сейчас в июле 10.79%.  В апреле было 12.66%. 

Are the previous guarantees of the west being lifted for ukraine? No "Whatever it takes" anymore?

Some logic behind the discussion of the new set of "guarantees" of the west.  they have already offered all the guarantees. "whatever it takes" from biden has been the main guarantee of the west to ukraine for three years. " It didn't work. Now, it turns out that the old guarantees are NOT "whatever it takes" and are being withdrawn? It's indecent, and unsympathetic, and unhygienic.

Старые гарантии запада украине снимаются? Теперь НЕ "все что потребуется?"

немного логических рассуждений о новых гарантиях запада украине. Все считали,  гарантии они уже дали. "whatever it takes" от байдена уже три года как главная гарантия запада украине. куда уж больше - "чего бы это не стоило". не сработало. получается, что старые  гарантии "ничего не стоят"  и снимаются? неприлично, и несимпатично, и негигиенично. 

Trump is right to fire the BLS top manager

 

Who follows the BLS releases and reviews knows very well that the published figures are prone to larger revisions. The data has to be revised as a number of small and large correcting mesurements is a routine process. The mistake of the BLS is that nobody reads the uncertainty of the numbers they publish. It's difficult to find these uncertainties even for professisonal economists (and they do not care). Other economic agencies have the same severe problem. The BEA had to resive the 2001 real GDP growth rate from -0.8% to +1.3% (+2.1% difference) and the previously announced (technical) recession gone. Trump does not know about the acciracy of these measurement and thus is 100% right. The BLS (BEA ...) are not professional. For example, from 1 to 2 million labor force correction for the previous year often pubished by the BLS is unacceptable. For the year of 2024, the CPI inflation was corrected up from the previous year. This means that the contemporary POTUS could make positive image from it despite it was not true (was it BLS political decision?) Definitely, one can interpret these (and many other) results as politically driven fraud. The way they present data is wrong and has to be changed. Otherwise, the poor or good figures can be used in the political discussion as if they have some meaning and relevance. The next chief will follow the instructions from Trump. This will be wise as the data are corrupt anyway.

On the spread of hazel seeds to the east

In recent days, the problem of spreading such a noble plant as hazel to the west has been increasingly discussed. As is known, hazel seeds are very light and fast. One should not neglect their possible super-fast spread to the east. Russian agronomists successfully transplant such plants even to places with a harsh climate. In Chukotka, it is quite possible to create favorable conditions for hazel. The Google map shows the zone of rapid seed spread with a tailwind. According to meteorologists, the radius of unstoppable flight can reach 5,500 km, which is marked with a larger yellow circle.

О распространении семян орешника на восток

В последние дни все чаще обсуждается проблема распространения такого благородного растения как орешник в западном направлении.  Как известно, семена орешника очень легки и быстры. Не следует пренебрегать возможным их сверхбыстром распространением и на восток. Российские агрономы успешно пересаживают такие растения даже в места с тяжелым климатом. На Чукотке вполне возможно создать для орешника благоприятные условия. На карте гугла приведена зона быстрого распространения семян с попутным ветром. По оценкам метеорологов радиус непрерывного полета может достичь 5500 км, что отмечено желтым кругом.