The third Japanese COVID-19 wave and Tokyo Olympiad

The growth in the daily number of new COVID-19 cases is observed in Japan. It started in the middle of March. The second wave was approximately 4 months long. Considering a higher activity and personal communication related to the 2020 Tokyo Olympiad one can make a thought experiment and project a possible repetition of the second wave extending into the mid-summer.  The Japanese population also does not find the idea of the Olympiad in 2021 too attractive.  I do not expect that the 2020 Summer Olympics will be declared open in 2021.  

A quick comparison of the mean income growth of the white and black population as well as males and females

New income data are available for 2019 and it is a good time to revise the estimates of our income evolution model. The model includes the difference (actually disparity) between genders and races observed since 1947, when personal incomes were measured the first time. Figure 1 shows the evolution of mean income (for people with reported income) since 1947 for males and females, black and white. One can see that the most recent development is the fast growth in females' mean income since 2014. Effectively, white females ($43,315) almost caught black males ($45,103) in 2019.  The effect of 2020 pandemic is of great interest. 

In Figure 2, the male/female mean income ratio for the white and black populations is compared. In the 1940s, the ratio was high but similar for black and white people. With the increasing females’ participation rate in the 1960s and 1970s, the ratio grew to its maximum for white people but decreased for the black population. Currently, white males get 1.5 times more than white females and the rate of convergence between two genders has been deceleration since 2010. For black people, the ratio was 1.2 in 2019. 

Finally, Figure 3 demonstrates the ratio of mean incomes of white and black people. In 1950, it was 1.85. With the increasing labor force participation rate for white females between 1960 and 1980, the disparity fell to 1.4. This was mainly the effect of lower mean incomes for white females, as one can judge by the curves in Figure 1.  In 1980, the ratio was 1.38 and in 2018 reached 1.35. Effectively, the mean income of the black population is 1.35 times lower than the mean income of the white population during the last 40 years. 

 Figure 1. Mean income for four race/gender combinations.

 

Figure 2. The ratio of male/female mean incomes for black and white people

 

Figure 3. The ratio of the mean income of the white and black population.

Поздравляю всех с Днем Космонавтики!

Это замечательный праздник для всего мира. Юрий Гагарин изменил нашу жизнь - началась новая эпоха.   

The US is losing face in the Russian escalation and open the road to Paris

The current escalation of the conflict on the Russian border looks like a game of nerves. Russia has declared an existential threat and is ready for any war including the global nuclear one. The US cannot decide to participate in the nuclear war against Russia because  Biden is a weak point. The decision on war made by himself will be considered as a hallucination of the old mind by the majority of the population and the decision made by real power behind his shoulders will be considered as a conspiracy of the deep state. Both decisions will likely be considered illegal and never implemented by militaries. This means to lose face and demonstrate weakness. Effectively, then there is no obstacle for Russia to conquest entire Europe without a single shot. The escalation works only when one is ready to cross Rubicon and lose everything. West is not ready to lose anything.     

Biden's dog Major is the best expression of aggression and fear in WH

 The dog is just an animal with normal Pavlov reflexes. Anybody having a dog knows very well that it often feels the host's mood.  The crowd around Biden (team) is likely full of aggressive thoughts, revenge, and fear. Biden's dog Major is not aggressive - it does what it must - defends the host.  No training will help - the atmosphere is driving the dog.

ЕС как реинкарнация нацисткой Германии

Продвижение ЕС своих "ценностей" полностью аналогично продвижению своего арийского превосходства нацисткой Германией. Почти все европейские страны поддержали Гитлера (ссылка на фильм о приветствии Гитлера в Австрии), чувствуя то же превосходство, что и немцы (кстати, королева Англии тоже зиговала). В ЕС снова выросло чувство собственного превосходства, теперь это ценности за пределами ВДПЧ. Но пахнет это нацизмом, и тут трудно скрыть острое чувство превосходства европейцев. Кончится это как всегда. Но в этот раз союзников из ЕС не надо отмазывать от трибунала.

EU as a new Nazi superstate

Almost all European countries (maybe just except Poland and UK) participated in WWII on the side of Nazi Germany and shifted to the Allies' side as traitors (practical joke - Austria admiring Hitler in 1938 is a victim of Nazism). The general mood in these countries was based on the acceptance of the supremacy of European nations over the "less developed counties" or "Untermenschen". (In the UK,  many celebrities also saluting Hitler). The SS Division Charlemagne was French by the nation of origin and we have numerous examples of high exasperation in the war against the Allies (USSR, USA, UK, and partly Poland). The current wave of the supremacy of the EU uses "Values" instead of upright Supremacy, but this substitution looks childish - the EU stinks with supremacy. Interestingly, Poland is a part of the EU and still against its values, but the UK is finally on the EU values side.  Actual humanitarian values are well described in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. Any change to this document has to be only by consensus and any country or union trying to change or block the UDHR has to be punished and was with Nazi Germany and its allies. Formally, the EU is a new Nazi superstate stating and forcing supremacy of its values not shared by the majority of states and population. The outcome of such a move is always the same - failure. This time the participants have to be punished according to their guilt.