12/13/22

As we predicted, CPI inflation much below the forecasted by WSJ. FOMC to reconsider the tomorrow's decision

The current fall in the CPI inflation is down to 7.1% per year and +0.1% in November relative to October 2022. This is much lower than the expected +0.3%, which would mean 7.3% during the past 12 months. I was not too optimistic about waiting for the figures below 7.0%. The 0.1% difference is within the measurement uncertainty and may change in the following revisions. Figure 1 presents the comparison of the PPI (Final Demand) and CPI inflation rates.

The faster-than-expected fall in the CPI inflation will change the FOMC consideration tomorrow. 

Figure 1


No comments:

Post a Comment

Spain chases France and Italy in the economic fall race

The news about blackout in Spain is in full harmony with the overall decline of Spanish economy. The growth rate of real GDP per capita has ...