I do not consider any possibility that the
Current Population Survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau for September
2012 is biased by CB or by the BLS, This is not the case. There is another hypothetical
way to bias the data. There are around 70000 households surveyed by the CB.
These households include approximately 200000 persons (mean household is 2.5
people). All these people (excluding several percent not responding ones) answer
a few questions associated with their current status: employed, unemployed or
not in the labor force. There current level of civilian labor force is approximately
155,000,00 with 12,000,000 unemployed. These figures are calculated by a
projection of 200,000 to 310,000,000 using population controls. In essence, one
person represents 1550 people.
How many people are needed to increase the
rate of unemployment by 0.1%? The rate of unemployment is calculated as the
ratio of the number of unemployed and labor force. So,
0.1% of unemployment rate with the level of labor force of 155,000,000 corresponds
to 155000. Since one person in the CPS represents 1550 people, one needs only 100
people to increase the rate of unemployment by 0.1%. To decrease the rate by
0.3% , only 300 (democrats -Spartans?) are needed.
I do not say that the result for September
2012 is biased. I say that the Current
Population Survey procedure is wide-open for manipulations.
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