2/6/22

The most efficient policy for Russia is to retain the highest tension with Ukraine with the help of West

The media in western countries seeds panic in Ukraine in favor of Russia. The long-term Russian policy is to make Ukraine weaker in all dimensions: economic, military, human capital, emotional tension, human disparity, conflicts among political parties, revealing western interest above domestic, etc. Almost all Russian actions are successful. The poorest country in Europe lost 30% of its economically active population. Tens of thousands of tons of artillery projectiles lost in fire are replaced by tens of tones supplied by the west. Any rational action is fiercely counteracted by the Nazi(onalist) minority with the tattooed SS-symbols. The Minsk Protocol fires the whole political system. As Germans say: Zug-Zwang. 

The longer Russia retains the pressure the worse is the future loss of Ukraine and the west. That is the reason Bloomberg publishes "Russia invaded Ukraine". Any delay of "the Russian invasion" badly hits Ukraine and the west (especially USA) in the aforementioned dimensions. The Turkey-Ukraine free trade agreement seems to be the last resort - Turkey now is the hyena of Europe. 


P.S. French Macron is going to visit Russia and Ukraine next week. It seems to be a manifestation of understanding of the trouble to EU and France. They will discuss the Minsk Protocol :

UN Version

Annex I to the letter dated 24 February 2015 from the Permanent Representative of Ukraine to the United Nations addressed to the President of the Security Council [Original: Russian] 

Protocol on the outcome of consultations of the Trilateral Contact Group on joint steps aimed at the implementation of the Peace Plan of the President of Ukraine, P. Poroshenko, and the initiatives of the President of the Russian Federation, V. Putin Upon consideration and discussion of the proposals put forward by the participants of the consultations in Minsk on 1 September 2014, the Trilateral Contact Group, consisting of representatives of Ukraine, the Russian Federation and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), reached an understanding with respect to the need to implement the following steps: 

1. Ensure the immediate bilateral cessation of the use of weapons. 

2. Ensure monitoring and verification by OSCE of the regime of non-use of weapons. 

3. Implement decentralization of power, including by enacting the Law of Ukraine on the interim status of local self-government in certain areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions (Law on Special Status). 

4. Ensure permanent monitoring on the Ukrainian-Russian State border and verification by OSCE, along with the establishment of a security area in the border regions of Ukraine and the Russian Federation. 

5. Immediately release all hostages and unlawfully detained persons. 

6. Enact a law prohibiting the prosecution and punishment of persons in connection with the events that took place in certain areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine. 

7. Continue an inclusive national dialogue. 

8. Adopt measures aimed at improving the humanitarian situation in Donbass. 

9. Ensure the holding of early local elections in accordance with the Law of Ukraine on the interim status of local self-government in certain areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions (Law on Special Status). 

10. Remove unlawful military formations and military hardware, as well as militants and mercenaries, from the territory of Ukraine. 

11. Adopt a programme for the economic revival of Donbass and the resumption of vital activity in the region. 

12. Provide personal security guarantees for the participants of the consultations. 

Participants of the Trilateral Contact Group: (Signed) Heidi Tagliavini, Ambassador (Signed) L. D. Kuchma, Second President of Ukraine (Signed) M. Y. Zurabov, Ambassador of the Russian Federation to Ukraine (Signed) A. W. Zakharchenko (Signed) I. W. Plotnitsk

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