The growth in the daily number of new COVID-19 cases is observed in Japan. It started in the middle of March. The second wave was approximately 4 months long. Considering a higher activity and personal communication related to the 2020 Tokyo Olympiad one can make a thought experiment and project a possible repetition of the second wave extending into the mid-summer. The Japanese population also does not find the idea of the Olympiad in 2021 too attractive. I do not expect that the 2020 Summer Olympics will be declared open in 2021.
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