In the absence of blockbusters, I am going to watch Biden following his promises
1. COVID-19. 100 million by 100 days (my estimate of success probability 30%). Reason - there are forces interested in failure. Thrilling
2. Taxes. Increasing taxes will likely suppress the US economy, which is not in a good shape already. China fills the US markets.
3. Iran deal. I have no clue what may happen - all actors have positions different from the original.
4. 75,000,000 for-Trump voters, which are real persons with families. I expect that some of Biden supporters will try to punish them. It will be a fantastic show. The whole world prepares popcorn: Rocky Balboa vs Ivan Drago.
5. Police and army. These people are mainly conservative and it is not clear why they have to shot their own legs
6. The US demonstrated the clear weakness of institutes and the recovery can be only kind of overshooting, i.e. a mid-size war. Hopefully, Russia is not the goal
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