I wrote this paper five years ago and forgot about it because of the priority to work with the DPRK nuclear tests in 2016. Now it looks like an appropriate time to make it available for a broader audience and I published it on SSRN. A larger part of this paper is devoted to modeling based on a mechanical model of income distribution and this part can be omitted by the reader as extremely specialized. There are important policy recommendations based on the facts of dramatic income inequality between white men and black women. The principal result - all people have the same capabilities, and the observed income disparity comes from the inadequate "frozen" socioeconomic structure of the US society.
Abstract
Income inequality between different races in the U.S. is especially
large. This difference is even larger when gender is involved. In a
complementary study, we have developed a dynamic microeconomic model accurately
describing the evolution of male and female incomes since 1930. Here, we extend
our analysis and
model the disparity between black and white populations in the U.S., separately for
males and females. Unfortunately, income microdata provided by the U.S. Census
Bureau for other races and ethnic groups are not time compatible or too short
for modeling
purposes. We are forced to constrain our analysis to the black and white
population, but all principal results can be extrapolated to other races and
ethnicities. Our analysis shows that black females and white males are two poles
of the overall income inequality. The prediction of income distribution for two
extreme cases with one model is the main challenge of this study.
Link to the full (pdf) paper at SSRN
Some policy recommendations
As a principal
result of this study, we propose to develop a responsible social policy aimed
at the acceleration of real economic growth. Equal opportunity for genders and
races to use the largest instruments of working capital will bring an immediate
increase in real Gross Domestic Income, i.e. in Gross Domestic Product. The
effect of this social policy will be also observed in the long-run before the
distribution of instrument sizes over genders and race becomes even. Here we do
not even say about the resulting social equality which will be the outcome of
income equality between races and genders. This does not imply income equality
between people, however.
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