The epidemic is a chain reaction process. One
person (nucleus) produces virus-full-droplets (neutrons), which infects (induce
fission process) at least one further person (nucleus) and so on. There are two
quite different trajectories in a chain reaction - uncontrolled and controlled.
The former one is a nuclear explosion or epidemic with mild (or inappropriate) protection
of citizens (e.g., season flu). Some countries have chosen almost uncontrolled chain
reaction and the daily number of newly infected/deaths increases exponentially
(like 20% per day). The chain reaction will naturally stop when all (related) people/nuclei
went through reaction. The latter case is a nuclear power plant
generating a stable amount of energy under the strict control of absorbing rods or
the current strict measures of self-isolation and quarantine in some countries.
What is the main difference between these two
trajectories? Most important, the controlled chain reaction allows 1) to decrease
the number of people/nuclei passing through illness/fission; 2) to lower and
smooth the released energy/stress for the medical system is and does not crush surrounding
media/social connections..
About self-isolation and quarantine. In order
to start explosive chain reaction one needs to dramatically increase the density
of fission material (e.g., uranium, plutonium). It highly increases the
probability for a spontaneously (i.e. in natural radioactive decay) generated neutron
to be absorbed by another nucleus. For this purpose, chemical explosives are
used. Another possibility is to create a very large plutonium sphere and it
will explode by itself at some point. (Do not store your plutonium in large
buckets!) Therefore, in order to avoid nuclear explosion one just needs to keep
fission material in non-compressed form. For the epidemic, the fission material
density is the same as the physical distance between people. What we observe now,
people gathering in larger groups create
conditions for explosion trajectory. Unfortunately, this process is spontaneous
and probabilistic. For corona-virus, people are already contagious when they
have no visible illness-specific features. Hence, any crowd may play the role of the nuclear explosion igniter. Stay safe!
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