Here we
present a formal model for Apple, AAPL, share price as based on the consumer
price index for motor vehicle parts, MVP, and motor vehicle maintenance and
repair, MVR:
Figure
1 shows that the predicted (monthly closing) price is much higher than the
observed one during the previous two months when the price fell to $592 (end of
October) from $665. The closing price
for November 8 is $537.75.
This
model is worthless with the current slump. Is Apple a lemon? This means it is
judged emotionally rather than objectively.
Figure 1. The observed and predicted price of Apple
share.
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